FANGRAPHS BASEBALL-REFERENCE RED SOX 97% 94.4% BLUE JAYS 40.5 55.0 YANKEES 56.4 41.9 MARINERS 5.3 8.1
Notice that Baseball-Reference gives the Blue Jays a better chance than the Yankees despite their being a game behind the Yanks. I think that B-R is probably incorporating the following: the Yankees are 6-10 so far against Toronto and Boston; the Yankees are 1-6 in Fenway this season and 2-4 at the Toronto home park; and 7-9 against TB (all their upcoming opponents). If past is prologue, then the Yankees are fucked.
ALSO--The Red Sox last six games are against Washington and Baltimore; of Toronto's last nine games, six are against Minnesota and Baltimore; whereas the Yankees' last nine games are against Boston, Toronto, and Tampa Bay. Draw your own conclusions.
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Come Yankees, give us a weekend to remember. I want another Boston massacre
ReplyDeleteWILD CARD PROBABILITIES, AS OF THIS MORNING
ReplyDeleteFANGRAPHS BASEBALL-REFERENCE
RED SOX 97% 94.4%
BLUE JAYS 40.5 55.0
YANKEES 56.4 41.9
MARINERS 5.3 8.1
Notice that Baseball-Reference gives the Blue Jays a better chance than the Yankees despite their being a game behind the Yanks. I think that B-R is probably incorporating the following: the Yankees are 6-10 so far against Toronto and Boston; the Yankees are 1-6 in Fenway this season and 2-4 at the Toronto home park; and 7-9 against TB (all their upcoming opponents). If past is prologue, then the Yankees are fucked.
Formatting got screwed up, but I think the chart is still decipherable.
ReplyDeleteALSO--The Red Sox last six games are against Washington and Baltimore; of Toronto's last nine games, six are against Minnesota and Baltimore; whereas the Yankees' last nine games are against Boston, Toronto, and Tampa Bay. Draw your own conclusions.
ReplyDeleteAlways think of Judge's blasting Sinatra in BSton as stupid moves. No other complaints or even slight dislikes about him.
ReplyDeleteMike