Thursday, February 23, 2023

NY Times scientific chart shows Aaron Judge probably won't hit 62 HRs again this year.

 


Let's have a little Judge and Jury contest.

I'm saying he hits 52 HRs.

First tie-breaker is average. (He hit .311 last year.)

I'm saying .293.

Second tie-breaker is RBIs. (Last year, 131.)

I'm going with 122.  

20 comments:

  1. .277 29 73. Misses 60+ games due to injuries

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  2. 54, .320, 122.

    There would be more RBI if the lineup had improved over the winter. If the team BA and OBP go up from last year, he could get more ribbies.

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  3. This comment has been removed by the author.

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  4. 64 HRS

    1) Rushed/distracted pitchers will be forced to throw more strikes.

    2) Finally getting the benefit of low strike/ball calls forces pitchers to stay in the strike zone.

    .320

    The new rules about fielder placement is worth 10 to 20 points on everyone's batting avg.

    134 RBIs

    Having DJ and or Bader lead off means more guys on base for Judge. Plus the lineup will turn more because of the above pitching and fielding rules means more opportunities for him in general.

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  5. 48,302,109

    Boooooone will have Judge leading off again.

    Morons all.

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  6. And this just in from the Who Gives a Shite Department:

    "Giancarlo Stanton had one of the loudest hits of the day during the Yankees' live batting practice on Wednesday."

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  7. 38 HR, .280, 81 RBI

    Yes, Ba-Boone will lead him off at least half the time. Plus he'll miss at least 30 games with various injuries. That's in addition to the Sunday games when he'll be warming the bench, courtesy of Ba-Boone.

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  8. I’m afraid I’ll be coming in at the lower end of the spectrum, and I’ll tell you why: other teams will have learned to simply pitch around him, and with no one batting behind him to protect him, there’ll be a huge drop off in production. That, plus the unlikelihood of another injury free year results in the following

    34 hrs 79 ribbis, 279 BA.

    He remains one of the better players in the league, and the best on the team, should be a Gold Glove winner in RF if the voters can overcome their innate prejudices and the half-ape in the dugout let’s him play in RF instead of stupidly moving him to LF.

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  9. That's the kind of sports reporting that makes us all feel glad the Times no longer has a real sports page. Just as well.

    Most likely, they're right. Injuries, the inane batting orders, a natural tendency to play less intently with a big contract and all sorts of awards and accomplishments (if only unconsciously), and the pitching around him—there are a dozen reasons why Judge is most likely to do LESS well in 2023.

    That, plus the fact that when you have one of the all-time great seasons you are unlikely to repeat it.

    But hell with all that. I'm willing to go optimistic with Doug. Bigger bases, new rules, etc., etc.: I say 66 homers, .324, 148 ribbies.

    Unlikely? Sure. But we can only hope there will be something to entertain us during our 77-win season.

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  10. 39 HR
    39RBI
    .277 BA

    "....and a partridge in a pear tree......"

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  11. 48
    111
    .299

    Miss Cleo gave me those numbers (from a Fort Lauderdale jail cell).

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  12. .317
    36
    67

    I'll love to lose this.

    ReplyDelete

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