But here's the thing: He was always right. The next play could bring a fumble or six-pick interception. Every single play, every single moment on a field - or in life -can be the instant that changes everything. (You go, Marianne Williamson!)
Baseball bloggers face a similar dilemma when attempting to pinpoint the Yankee who will matter the most this season. Any idiot knows that 2024 will balance on Aaron Judge and Gerrit Cole. We can shinny down the roster and imagine anybody becoming a key lug nut. What if Luke Weaver develops a smooshball and wins 20 games? Won't he be the most important Yankee? Fuck, yeah! We'll be the Dream Weaver. We'll do the Weave Wave! Leave it to Weaver!
But from where we stand now - hours before the Valentines Day cascade of chocolates and Viagra - one Yankee stands out, in part because of 2023's unfinished business.
We still don't know WTF to expect from Anthony Volpe.
His range of 2024 outcomes now stretch from home town superstardom to a complete flop. He won't be Derek Jeter, but he could be a foundational block on which the Yankees build their team. He won't be Zolio Almonte, but he could be a disappointment to be eventually traded for a meatball sub. Wither goest Clint Frazier!
Last year, Volpe - age 22 - hit .209 with 21 HR and 60 RBIs. He stole 24 bases, not bad for a guy with a horrible OBP of .283. He fanned 167 times, 10th in the AL. He won the AL Gold Glove, though let's just say his status as the premier fielding SS remains questionable. He hit .198 against righties, .248 against lefties. For a Jersey boy, he hit better on the road (.229) than at home. Twice, in June and August, he seemed to poised to get hot, but he never did. Over the second half of the season, he hit .200. Ugh.
There is talk about changing his launch angle - God, I hate that phrase - and exit velos, and bunting, blah blah blah, but it might as well be Tony Romo talking about UFOs. If we know anything about baseball, it's that the season is long enough for spring training resolutions to end up in the dumpster.
But here's the thing:
If Volpe becomes half the player the Yankees once projected him to be, 2024 could turn on a dime. So...
IF VOLPE HITS: Let's say he bats .265 with 25 HRs, his stolen bases should rise to 40. He could move to the leadoff spot or continue to bat ninth, creating a circular order. He could get on base for DJ LeMahieu or Alex Verdugo, psyching out pitchers, elevating each at-bat. There is rabid speculation as to how Juan Soto could boost the offense. Volpe could have the same cascading impact. If he hits like he did in the minors, you can even imagine the Yankee challenging Baltimore (which remains the team to beat.)
IF VOLPE DOESN'T HIT: Shoot me. If he fails again - maybe .200 with fewer HRs - well, the Yankees will have watched their most vaunted prospect in years turn into an afterthought. We'll move on to Oswald Peraza. Volpe will still only be 23 - plenty of time to blossom - but to Yank fans, he'll be 35. Once again, the Yankees will have a black hole at the bottom of their batting order. That will put more pressure on the sluggers, who will see fewer hittable pitches. It will be like an NFL team with a decimated offensive line: One domino topples another, and another...
So, on this one, I'm Tony Fucking Romo. When I look at 2024, everything turns on Volpe. A year into his MLB career, we still donno what he's got. Soon, though, that will change. Cross your fingers.









