Since his trade to St. Louis, Jordan Montgomery has three wins: That's as many as the Yankees.
We are witnessing the kind of sports catastrophe normally associated with Gene Mauch and/or Scott Norwood. Coupled with the rise of the Mets, I believe the "Collapse of '22" will force an end to the Brian Cashman Era.
It simply must happen. The Yankee fan base will demand a top-down cleansing. This will not be a tremor. This will be the earthquake, the 100-year flood, the existential crisis that threatens the Yankees' legacy as the team America loves and hates. (The Dodgers could claim that spot. Or maybe the Mets.)
Of course, Hal will still own the team. And his desire to put profits over victories will remain the biggest cause of the malaise. The Yankees have stumbled before, but this one will be different. They will see a drop in season tickets. They will see streaming channels, such as Amazon Prime and Apple TV, turn to other, more exciting teams. The crisis will grow exponentially if some West Coast owner outbids the Yankees for Aaron Judge, or if the slugger simply decides he's had enough of NY and wants to return home. Giancarlo Stanton and Gleyber Torres won't sell tickets in 2023.
If this debacle continues, Cashman will have to take the fall. Surely, he knows this. In the end, the Montgomery trade will fester around his neck like a career albatross. Someday, Harrison Bader might be a beloved Yankee, but right now, he looks like the worst deal in memory. The Yankees need hitters, and Bader will not solve that problem. (In the last 10 games, only one - the Hicks debacle against Tampa - might have been won if we'd had a decent CF.) It's uncertain if Bader can return be mid-September, and if so, he must survive the "Welcome to NY" slump that many hitters endure. Worse, some fans might boo him as a walking symbol of Cashman's hubris.
Sunday, the team will honor Paul O'Neill, who famously smashed water coolers after tough games. If the Yankees lose another - or get, gulp, swept - who will go crazy on the dugout fixtures? Or will they just shake their heads and pack for the flight out?
Like Albert Abreu, the Yankees are out of options. Soon, the media will start wondering who comes next, after Cashman/Boone. Surely, one name will come up: Derek Jeter.
Once Jeter's name is floated by the big media, the alignment of the planets would be intoxicating. He represents everything that Cashman is not. If Jeter were to take over, would Don Mattingly follow as manager?
Of course, this is just a parlor game. We are slightly more than halfway through the most excruciating August in our Yankee lifetimes. Believe it or not, we will still probably make the playoffs, but then quickly make an exit - like all the other teams built by Cashman and his algorithms: Good enough to contend, bad enough to lose.
But I do believe the end is near for Cash. The other night, before Donaldson's HR brought a few hours of peace, the fans were chanting "Fire Boone." One of these nights, they will turn their voices to Cashman. And maybe, just maybe, they'll bring back the post-Reggie chant of "Steinbrenner Sucks." You can hear it on the wind, folks. The big one is coming. And it will bring about change.
25 comments:
Cashman's legacy will carry on for a few years.
Dead Money 2023, Salary Cap $;
Donaldson 25Mil
Stanton 22 Mil
Rizzo 16Mil (He won't opt out)
Hicks 10Mil
Life Support
Cole 36Mil
Severino 15Mil
A LOT of money for almost nothing.
Then, to keep Judge to generate cash for the near future oodles Dead Money come 2207 and beyond.
No Championship caliber teaming the near future because, unlike the Dodgers and Mets, we do not use our financial clout in any meaningful way, unless you consider keeping Hal in caviar meaningful.
Much like Cleopatra, we will not age well.
I don’t think spending money solves this problem. Cashman, the scouting dept and the minor league instructors all have to go. Guys like Florial, Andujar & Cabrera may not be stars, but they can provide the same numbers as Rizzo, Donaldson, Falefa, etc. Plus they are young and have some energy. If I’m forced to root for a deadass team, I’d at least like to watch players that try.
I am not a psychic - I just like to rant and complain, but even this broken clock is right twice a day. Been predicting this for two years, BUT I also have been saying and still believe that Cash will toss Ma Boone under the bus in order to save his own skin.
“Since his trade to St. Louis, Jordan Montgomery has three wins: That's as many as the Yankees. “
The most damning thing I’ve ever read.
This is like 1978 in reverse. AAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAHHHHHHHHHHHHH !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Been calling for a housecleaning for years. I’m not sure how epic a collapse would be needed to get anything beyond a band-aid approach. Get Steinbrenner’s attention by not going to the games and spending money on the team, nothing else will work, though I admit I do get a visceral thrill hearing the negative chants. I didn’t bother watching the game last night (secure in the knowledge they would lose anyway) and life went on. Judge seems to be a perceptive young man, and no one could honestly blame him for leaving this mess, though the lunkheads will certainly try. Along with Celerino, I’d much rather watch young players on the rise than fading “stars” who yield the same predictable results. I guess we’re back to 2017, except Cashman has dealt away many of the young prospects. It will take time to undo the damage he’s has done. And please: no hosannas for Bader. Other sites paint him as some sort of saviour, when in reality he is simply a glove first, slightly below average hitter whose chief virtue is impacted by a chronic condition that may render him totally useless.
People on the outside look at us and shake their heads wondering how fans of a winning team can be so cynical and distraught, but they don’t live through the bane of the elevated mediocrity we have been cursed with. So, yes - tough times to be Z Yankee fan.
It’s a wonderful and hopeful sentiment, though it’s nothing more than a fantasy.
Cashman will get a new, 3-year deal for Christmas. He will then extend Boooone, at the same time bringing us a new mantra:
“The season is a crapshoot.”
Very good article on Andujar by Josh Diemert at Pinstripe Alley:
https://www.pinstripealley.com/2022/8/20/23311520/yankees-mlb-prospects-miguel-andujar-torres-carpenter-judge-gallo-statcast-dodgers-ohtani-angels
While it’s true that he has never been given a real opportunity post injury, it does seem that we may have seen him in a Yankee uniform for the last time.
Prediction, Hal will resign Genius Cashman and there will be no World Series in sight. He will bring in offensive stiffs and secondary players.
I believe a house cleaning WILL NOT follow whatever miserable end this season brings.
It could, but . . .
The determining factor: The NYYs cash flow statement. Hal sees it. We do not.
Hal's question - to himself -- on signing/NOT signing Judge isn't gonna be how badly previous huge/stupid $$$ deals (Stanton, Cole.....Aaron Hicks) have turned out.
It's gonna be: If I let Judge go, how will that impact my bottom line.
We all might guess it would be NEGATIVE. However, Hal's question will be -- "how negative?" If it's something he can live with, say bye-bye to All Rise.
---
On getting rid of Cash/Boone: It's something I've hoped for.
But advice I gave a friend of mine several years ago might be relevant here. He was a magazine publisher, and he was thinking about getting rid of one of the (contract) salespeople he had in a big territory. The guy made too much money, and didn't take my friend's magazine seriously.
"It's OK to punt on that guy, and I don't blame you at all," I said, or words to that net impact. "BUT: Perhaps you had better figure out the name of the new person......who's available for you to hire......how much time he will give your property...."
Sage advice? I don't know. I know it's hard for all of us to imagine, but there might be a worse Brain Trust Team than Cash/Boone. REMEMBER, HAL IS STILL GONNA BE THERE. He will not only do the hiring of their replacements, he will OK/no-go decisions that the new people will make.
Hal will not fire Cashman. The Brain has pictures and documents in a safe place.
There will be no revolt by the fans. Even the biggest Yankees critics, the good commenters here, seemed to have made a tacit agreement not to support management by attending any games at the stadium. But after a great start that vow quickly vanished.
Furthermore, the press will not blame Cashman lest they lose their access to him as a source for stories should he survive the axe.
Once again, the coaches and perhaps even Boone will be blamed for the team collapse....not Cashman. Our only hope for Cashman's departure is a faulty rope or two on his next Stamford building rappel.
Duque, I think it's wishful thinking on your part that Cashman will be canned. I just don't see it. Boone might be canned, but not the Brain.
I heard the game last night was a sellout. They seem to be doing pretty well, as far as revenues & profits. We know the finances are all that HAL cares about, so why would he can Cashman?
Whether they make the playoffs by an eyelash and then get booted out or whether they complete the most epic collapse of all time, Cashman won't get the boot. If I was a gambling man....
PRO TIP:
Nothing helps ease the PAAAAAAAAIN of this near-historic August swoon than a lovely, well chilled double IPA from GRIMM Artisanal Ales (they're in Brooklyn - how the hell did't I get them here in NorCal!?!) and a superb shrimp and carne asada burrito.
But Alas - that was last evening . . . then I watched -P R E Y- to help cleanse the overall palate.
Have no idea what's on the menu for today's soul crushing Cole disaster - yet - but I will start off with a cup or two of Above Average coffee.
Remember - It stays in your belly until its really smelly and then we flush it straight down to helly.
Great discussion, guys!
I suspect just what will happen will depend upon just how terrible the collapse is.
If the Yanks somehow right the ship, hold on to the division and make it to, say, the ALCS—there is simply no possible way they make the World Series—then nothing will change, Cashman gets rehired, Boone gets re-upped, etc., and we fans are all informed by the media that we are hysterics, who don't understand the normal ups and downs of a baseball season...
...Things work out a little worse, such as we lose the division, barely make the playoffs, and exit early?
Then maybe Boone does bite it. That's what he's there for, after all: bus fodder. In the "break in case of emergency" glass case. Then it's welcome, Manager Rojas. Which will also be a disaster...
Also - I'm sticking to my gums - - - - >
No more bubble gum for Aaron Boone until this team, The New York Yankees - turns things around!!!
Let him suckle on a Yankees Binky if necessary - but not another bubble until we're completely out of trouble.
It's uncertain if Bader can return be mid-September, and if so, he must survive the "Welcome to NY" slump that many hitters endure. Worse, some fans might boo him as a walking symbol of Cashman's hubris.
How telling is it that our "walking sysmbol" is in a walking boot?
Since his trade to St. Louis, Jordan Montgomery has three wins: That's as many as the Yankees.
Agreed with BJPB that this is an incredibly damning statement.
...The complete meltdown?
Team does not make the playoffs, maybe finishes with a losing record. Maybe even with Jordan Montgomery getting a couple wins for the Cards in the World Series, and Tots Bader still on the DL?
Then, I THINK, all hell breaks loose. Not even Cashman can survive THAT, I think.
Even HAL has got to realize that a collapse of this magnitude will nauseate New Yorkers. The Yankees will become a sort of pariah. This would be not only such a betrayal of the team's reputation—aka, "brand," and already badly damaged by Brian Cashman—but also something that seen as a huge choke, a collapse under pressure, or in other words, exactly UNlike the way that New Yorkers like to think of themselves.
It will be like becoming the Knicks, overnight. Or worse.
That will mean real damage in real dollars, the sort of language that HAL understands.
Oh, and a word to Kevin's interesting, extended analysis from the last post;
Yes, baseball can be unpredictable (as a great man once said). Yes, there are all sorts of examples of Mutts getting it together, particularly in short series.
But one thing I can say, from 56 years of following the game: the key is nearly ALWAYS pitching.
The Mets 1969 run? Besides some great managing from Gil Hodges? They had Seaver and Koosman in the rotation, a great year from No. 3 starter Gary Gentry, and Nolan Ryan and Tug McGraw in the pen.
The 1906 Cubs, winner of a record, 116 games in the regular season, lost the Series in 6 to a club called "the Hitless Wonders"? Well, if they couldn't hit, what did they have, those 1906 White Sox? PITCHING!
This is ALWAYS the aspect of the game that Brian Cashman understands least and neglects most. Year after year, the Yankees teams of the earlier 2000s had blockbuster lineups...and the pitching shorts.
Same thing this year, although the hitting also sucks.
And as to what will replace The Brain? Well, probably nothing all that good. HAL will still be in charge. And even if the Steinbrenners were to sell, let's remember the people they ALMOST sold out to in 1998: the Dolans.
Horace, absolutely right, it's the pitching baby, the pitching. And Cashman just might be the most luck less GM in the history of GMs. I might add that some of the bad luck, wasn't, and some was George.
Hoss, I'm glad to see your commitment to pitching as the number one element of champions. I remember Bob Gibson beating the 67 Red Sox. Koufax and Drysdale. Jim Palmer and the three other killer starters of the Orioles glory years. (Special notice of Mike Cuellar, the scroogie king.) It's always the pitching. Reggie doesn't matter as much as Guidry. You know what I mean.
Our pitching is consistently sub-championship level. Cashman has repeatedly shown he doesn't get it. Trading Monty was just the latest terrible move in a long, well documented string of horror. Our ace is no longer an ace without his sticky stuff. Montas sucks outside of Oakland. Squandering a big lead to "straighten out" Abreu and his ilk while trading Sears and sending Maraschino and Schmidt down. It's a shitshow.
Too bad. We had a really good team with great chemistry going until injuries and bad decisions destroyed the magic. Cashman's legacy is as "magic killer"... this year, in 2016, forever.
Happy for Florial…
The way Cabrera is playing, Gonzalez is gonna be waived by 9/1…
Would not be shocked if The Genius returns. Cash is the man according to Clueless Hal.
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