John certainly Marlboroed today's WinWarble. Saving the lungs for Boston?
As long as he's over the Healy Line (5.00) there is hope.
Of recent WinWarbles recorded this year, he is beating Healy to the tune of 14-8.
UPDATE FROM IIH YANKEE MATHOLOGIST ADAM (abridged from extended comment): I can't treat what happened today as anything other than an outlier... I hate to add too many variables (the limit is most certainly going to be 4 unless something particularly interesting crops up), but many will have to be tested until I find the right combination. p-values were approaching .1 and t-stats approaching 2 for the worst of my variables, but those numbers took sharp turns after the anomalous warble today. Maybe there was something else going on today in Mr. Sterling's life that limited his ability to warble.
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My NYSI analysis really hit a wall with the win warble today... just when I was starting to think things were getting ironed out, that I really understood in mathematical terms what made the man click after the final out has been recorded, he gave a spirited but very short win warble after the epic come from behind victory today. And I have no idea what to do about it. I could treat it as an outlier and remove it from analysis, but that wouldn't be fair. It could be that the Yankees stranded runners late, or that the runs scored were largely a product of luck (I'm not sure his brain operates in that fashion, though), or it could be that Mo's inning was relatively unexciting. I'm wondering if 9th inning strikeouts has anything to do with it. More tests will have to be run, but for the time being I can't treat what happened today as anything other than an outlier.
I hate to add too many variables (the limit is most certainly going to be 4 unless something particularly interesting crops up), but many will have to be tested until I find the right combination. p-values were approaching .1 and t-stats approaching 2 for the worst of my variables, but those numbers took sharp turns after the anomalous warble today. Maybe there was something else going on today in Mr. Sterling's life that limited his ability to warble. I wouldn't be surprised if there is a mid-season lull that I will be able to model as the season progresses. Only time, and more wins, will tell.
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