Wednesday, March 27, 2024

Oh, yeah, Baseball Reference?

The Athletic ran their 2024 season model 100,000 times-- 100 fucking thousand times! --and this is their result for the AL East.

Granted, we end up losing to the Astros in the League Championship Series (and the Astros end up losing the WS to the Dodgers, both unsavory choices), but still.

The model showed only two teams with 90+ wins on the season: the Braves and the Dodgers. Harrumph. (I didn't get a 'harrumph' out of that guy...)

My highly rational and well-informed opinion about all this is that nobody knows nothin'.

11 comments:

Doug K. said...


"The Athletic ran their 2024 season model 100,000 times-"

USING STRAT-O- MATIC and boy are their wrists tired!(Rim shot)

--and this is their result for the AL East."

Well that’s just stupid. The Orioles added Burnes and have new and committed ownership with deep pockets and they are going to win 15 FEWER games?

BTR999 said...

They need to reset their computers to 2024.

Rufus T. Firefly said...

I guess they assumed Montgomery would sign with the Yankees at such a low asking price.

Fuck Hal, Fuck Ca$hole. Shave their balls (if you can find them) with a rusty razor and dip them in a vat of habanero sauce spiked with battery acid.

For starters.

ranger_lp said...

@Rufus...conspiracy theory...from another site...

That's ok. He's going to end up sending a whole bunch of prospects to Arizona before the deadline for Montgomery. That way he only has to deal with half of Montgomery's contract hitting their tax

Doug K. said...

Re: Monty

It was never the money. (Even though it is absolutely the money.) 25M x 2 = 50M for Montgomery. Too much.

It's probably just as much if not more about the dropping of where they draft and the loss of international pool money.

There are a couple of really good players coming out of Japan including a young pitcher that can only be had with pool money.

There's also the Japanese 3B who I'm hoping foolishly will be the guy they sign.

Interestingly, I wonder what some of the shine coming off of Ohtani might mean for the kid pitcher. I would have guessed that the Ohtani/Yamamoto connection made the Dodgers a lock on getting him. Now I'm not so sure.

BTR999 said...

MLBTR.COM:

The Yankees and Marlins are in agreement on a trade sending utility infielder Jon Berti from Miami to New York, reports Craig Mish of SportsGrid and the Miami Herald. Berti, 34, is earning $3.6MM in the second season of a two-year, $5.725MM contract and is controllable through the 2025 season via arbitration.

The Yanks are sending 18 y/o OF. John Cruz to MIA, but there are more details to come; Apparently TB is involved in the deal.

Berti seems to be an average player with experience at 3B, SS, OF. He is 34. Quite likely he will be our starting 3B

BTR999 said...

Rortvedt to TB to complete the deal. There was no room on the roster for him anyway

ranger_lp said...

Cole will need a new personal catcher...and yes Berti will probably start at 3B...

ranger_lp said...

Is getting Berti worth changing my win prediction from 87 to 88? LOL

Doug K. said...

Well the good thing about baseball unlike most other sports is that a new guy can seamlessly start right away because there is no interaction on offense and, in the case of a 3B, almost no interaction on defense either. (other than pop ups.)

JM said...

Hoss, thank you for getting the reference.

I forgot that anyone they sign would basically be double with the luxury tax. Stoopid me.

Berti may be old, but now that Victoria is gone he can focus on the game.

And bye, bye Biceps. We hardly knew ye, and didn't actually need to know ye this much.