Saturday, April 4, 2026

The Yankees are off to a great start, but do we dare dismiss the Unknown Unknowns?

Best in the AL East. Best record in the AL. Best record in baseball. Best team pitching (1.16 ERA). Best with the robot umps. Second best in stolen bases (11, behind only Milwaukee.) Four games up on Boston...  

Six wins in seven games. 

God in his heaven, right?

Well, maybe. Unfortunately, as we all know, what matters remains in a distant galaxy - far, far away and a long, long time from now, aka "October."  Can this team finish 2026 with six of seven?

And what of the world? As we drift into another war, I'm recalling 2001 and the late Donald Rumsfeld, a classic character in humanity's troubled recurring history: Old men sending young men off to war. Rummy spoke of "known knowns" and "unknown unknowns," and I made a pretty penny by setting his words to poetry.


There are known knowns.
There are things we know we know.
We also know there are known unknowns.
That is to say,
We know there are some things we do not know.
But there are also unknown unknowns
The ones we don't know we don't know.

Lately, I'm imagining old Rummy checking the headlines and chuckling, way down there. Yesterday, two young U.S. pilots were shot down, and you could go back to the days of Cheney & the Rumster to remember the horror of seeing one of our boys held captive by an enemy we helped create. 

Ah, but this is a Yankees blog. Forgive me. Let's stay on topic.

THE YANKEES' CURRENT KNOWN KNOWNS. 

1. Aaron Judge will hit 50 HRs.

2. Giancarlo will miss at least two months with injuries.

3. Max Fried will be the staff ace.

4. Cody Bellinger will play solid LF.

5. The middle of the lineup, from 2-to-5, will function as our own Strait of Hormuz for opposing pitchers.   

6. The bottom of our lineup, from 6-to-9, won't deliver squat. 

7. The bullpen will eventually crack from the strain.

8. The wild card will be our salvation.

THE YANKEES' CURRENT KNOWN UNKNOWNS.

1. The ceiling of Cam Schlittler.

2. The returns of Gerrit Cole and Carlos Rodon.

3. Anthony Volpe.

4. Minor league pitchers Carlos Lagrande and Elmer Rodriguez.

5. Scranton's mystery OF: The Martian and Spencer Jones.

6. Does Bednar last a season?

THE YANKEES CURRENT UNKNOWN UNKNOWNS.

Damn...  this gets scary. What happens in July and August, when the front office feels compelled to make its trades?

Six of seven. They say a win in April is just as important as a win in September.

Unless you consider the things we don't consider...

10 comments:

13bit said...

There's a term for what the Yankees Organization is doing to us. It's called "fattening them up for the kill." I'm not bitter.

JM said...

I think Elmer will be the glue that holds the bullpen together.

13bit said...

Remember mucilage glue, the kind that came with the near-useless red rubber cap that had a slit in it? The shit was weak on a good day. That's what I see holding the pen together. Damn, I just gave myself a case of PTSD...

JM said...

Even when we were kids, we knew that mucilage sucked. Elmer's was better.

Doctor T said...
This comment has been removed by the author.
Doctor T said...

I agree on multiple levels. the three that come to mind:

1. The Yankees are fattening up on cheap wins, before the injuries inevitably kick in, batters catch up to pitchers and the MLB catches up to the Yankees..

2. Jones and/or the Martin are being fattened up for a trade, to replace broken MLB roster parts for somebody else's broken parts. Whoever goes on to the greater career will be the one traded.

3. Yankees are fattening up their fans & betting margins to maximize revenue streams and betting margins thanks to the PR department overselling the team, its players & prospects. The inevitable will come in August or September. The front office will make a killing in the predictions market, as the team breaks down & tanks. It's all about insider information, ya know?

AboveAverage said...

All this chatter about Elmer makes me feel all fuddled.

Great post, E.D. !

I remember watching The Fog of War when it was released back in 2003. Awesome documentary. Robert McNamara was a lovable scoundrel in that Errol Morris gem.

Time to tweak the game threads a wee bit.

2026

The year we make . . .

(COFFEE!)

BTR999 said...

My personal known known is that I will see a great post at IIHIIFIIC every day.
Lived this one, entertaining and accurate.

Carl J. Weitz said...

Which category does this fall under?
" Boone will personally lose 10 games for the team by making completely stupid moves by defying logic and the odds."

Ceeja said...

Yeah Boone is still a moron but the team is not the embarrassment it was in the 2024 world series and when sterling complained about drunks running the bases