Do It Now!

 

Yesterday, your New York Yankees lost for the sixth time in their last eight games. It was their third loss in a row to the last-place team in their division. 

They scored all of one run in the game, and have now scored all of five runs in their last three games. They do not have a catcher who can play a decent game in the field and hit over .200. 

They do not have a second baseman who is a mature adult. 

They do not have a third baseman who can both field and hit. 

Their left fielder is a shortstop.

Their shortstop has hit .349 over the past two weeks...and got his average up to .262, with 1 home run.

Their bullpen is a minefield.

Their starting pitching, the team's one asset, is collapsing faster than the Maginot Line in France.

And yet...according to baseball-reference, they have the highest chance of any team in baseball of making the postseason. And the second-highest chance of winning the World Series.

AFTER their loss yesterday, their chance of winning it all INCREASED, from 19.0 to 19.5 percent. No other team in the American League is given more than a 5.4 percent chance of doing so. Those are the Guardians of Traffic, and beyond them, nobody ranks so much as a 4.0 chance—one in twenty-five—to win it all.

Even in the National League, only the dynastic Los Angeles Dodgers, at 25.2 percent, are given a better chance of taking the Fall Classic. And...weirdly enough, the Bums are given "only" a 99.7 percent chance of making the postseason.

That's right. Whoever it is who is perverting statistics in my name thinks it more likely that your Yankees will win it all than the Dodgers will.

The Brewers who already swept the Yanks this year with ease, are given only a 99.8 percent chance of making the postseason, and a 14.9 percent chance of winning everything.

The loss in Fenway—did you ever think you see a duller Yankees-Red Sox contest?—even increased the team's Pythagorean record, somehow, from theoretically three games better than it was, to four games. Sure, makes a lot of sense.

So I say...get those bets down now.

Not large bets. Remember: gambling is stupid—but don't gamble stupid. 

Just a nice, tidy, affordable little bet on what must now be the tremendous odds that the Yankees won't win the World Series, or the pennant, or the AL East—or even make the playoffs.

Because they won't.

Now is the time. Over the next few weeks, the Yankees will meet and be humiliated by both the Dodgers and the Braves, for starters. More losses of all sorts will follow, as the June Swoon kicks into Boone.

This is going to be bad. Historically, horrifically bad. Just think of how many Yankees failures this year have already lead to statements such as, "Not since 1913...1912...1908..."

This team has no hitting, no spirit, no smarts, no character, no leadership. They have scored more than 4 runs exactly once in their last 10 games.

Even more importantly: they have no pitching. The bullpen is nonexistent. The starting pitching is doddering.

If you're going to bet—and you shouldn't—bet now. There is nothing left here but the shadow of a team that was never that good to begin with.

Remember, you heard it straight from the Greek's mouth.