Monday, November 25, 2024

In the matter of Juan Soto, Thanksgiving could be time to see the checkbooks

According to the Interweb, several MLB teams this week will present their opening bids for Juan Soto. 

At long last, this auction will have reached its knockout round. 

In recent weeks, owners such as Hal Steinbrenner cuddled-up to Soto and his fiscal overlord, Scott Boras, seeking to sell the two future Hall of Famers on loyalty and tradition... a/k/a bullshit.

But sometime this week, Mets owner Steve Cohen is expected to hand Boras a check that says, basically, "$50 million above all others," with maybe a $10 million handshake sweetener. From there, the auction will start and finish. 

Steinbrenner has consistently promoted the Yankees' sincerity, his way of poormouthing. In that respect, Cohen has already won. 

If/when the Mets sign Soto, it will be their hardest crosstown gut punch in this millennium, far beyond signing Luis Severino and Harrison Bader. It will mean the Mets enter 2025 with NYC's biggest attraction and best team - (they arguably finished 2024 that way) - with all of Gotham polarized over Soto. 

Cohen will have achieved his goal: Bagging the star whom every NY fan loves or hates. And Boras will have what he wanted: the biggest number on the check.

Honestly, neither Boras nor Soto have ever suggested they'd do otherwise. They were always going with the highest number, not the owner who made the nicest speech.

I suppose there is a chance that Hal rises to the occasion, equaling or outbidding Cohen. It's only money. Maybe Brian Cashman can cook up numbers that convince Hal to pay up. 

But I cannot see why anyone should expect this. 

Cohen has been moving in this direction since 2020, when he bought the Mets for $2.4 billion and never even flinched. Humanity will soon enter the era of trillionaires, which means a few players will be billionaires. There are no guardrails here, no connections to everyday people. Besides, next year, right around now, there will be another Soto. You wait and see. We will be having this same fake debate: Can the Yankees afford him? (When we all know the answer is yes.) 

If they fail on Soto, the Yankees will have other options. Theoretically, it would mean Cashman has $60 million to spend. That said, the Plan B's - Santander, Bregman, Alonzo - aren't headed for Cooperstown. And New York City won't suddenly stop whenever they come to bat. 

For months, we heard how the U.S. Presidential election would likely take weeks to be decided, for all the votes to be counted. And then it was over by midnight. Don't be surprised if the same happens here. Once the numbers are floated, it shouldn't take long.

6 comments:

Joe Formerlyof Brooklyn said...

Soto is great. $60 million x 10 years is one heck of a lot of dough. He's only 25. Is he going to be the player @ age 31-32-33-34-etc that he is now? Will he become injured at some point, replicating for us Ellsbury Disease? Will that $$$ spent on him mean that NYY pitching will be sour for years (as the minor league pitchers seem to offer little in the way of promise)...?

Remember that TV commercial for beer in which Billy Martin said "I feel very strongly both ways?" .....

TheWinWarblist said...

Never try to replace one player with talent with three players with none.

JM said...

Joe brings up a lot of good points. I think you can make a pretty good case for grabbing Santander instead of Soto. A few years older, but also coming off a career year, at least homer-wise. He's a good defender and doesn't make stupid baserunning mistakes. Bonus: Michael Kay has to pronounce his name during every game, which he seems to find slightly challenging.

And, if I remember correctly, he isn't injury-prone. Which is good.

I don't really see how we can go into the season with Soto in right and Jas'son in left. Man, that's a lot of missed and poorly judged flies. Does Judge stay in center, then? Does the Martian go out there? Where does Judge go, back to right? Then who's in left? That's a big left field.

We need competent defense all the way around. That can win more games than the occasional late-inning blast. If your pitching and defense is good enough, you very, very rarely need an occasional late-inning blast.

Of course, that would still leave infield defense and pitching that need shoring up. I'd guess Hal and Brain don't address those except in a half-assed fashion. Like last year. And previous years. So, as Jesse Jackson famously said, the point...is moot. Soto or not, I don't have much confidence in this front office, or the team they assemble.



13bit said...

It doesn't matter - NONE of this matters - because Hal is not going to hand over the cash. After the Mets sign him, Brian is free to do what he does best: make horrible dumpster acquisitions and talk them up like they are the second coming of Babe Ruth. Same old trick, year after year. La plus qui change...

JM said...

Ding ding ding ding ding! I think we have a winner!

BTR999 said...

I have already accepted the fact that Soto was a one year rental that cashman failed to capitalize upon. Would prefer he not sign with the Mets so we don’t have to hear the endless chatter, but that does seem to be the likely landing spot. We will sorely miss him over the next few years, but he will eventually morph into a DH-only type and ultimately into winner of of the
Giancarlo Stanton legacy award. I just wish we could count on cashman to do the next best thing and retool the team with other options but that won’t happen while the team is in thrall to the prevarications of analytics.