Thursday, October 3, 2024

With the KC sweep, all the Yankees' supposed advantages of a first round bye are gone

Remember how, heading into the AL Division Series, we wanted either the Royals or O's - (didn't matter which) - to be 100 percent drained of piss and testosterone - bats limp, bullpen fried, legs of grease and lungs crackling with microwave popcorn vapor?  

So much for that.

Come Saturday at 6:50 p.m., KC will be ripe and rested, stoked on crowd noise and network honeys, while the Yankees will be waking up from a week of self-pleasure, a mini all-star break that has become MLB's biggest postseason flaw. Instead of gaining an advantage, as in the brutal NFL, baseball's winningest teams face a week of Calgon Bath Oil Beads, softening whatever edges that got them here. 

Since the playoffs were expanded, top seeded teams have won three of eight ALDS. 

Not only that, but by sweeping Baltimore, KC will face the Yankees with a) its bullpen rested, b) its rotation in its moon cycle, and c) the first-time jitters of playing in October behind them. 

Be afraid. Be fucking afraid. Still, the Yankees will have no excuses for losing. Our Big Two outmatch theirs. We have: 

Aaron Judge, the Captain, the lifelong Yankee, and the undisputed greatest slugger of his era. But in postseason play, he's been - well - Danny Tartabull. In 12 playoff series - 44 games - he is .211 with 13 HRs (most of them solo shots, he has only 25 RBIs.) Two years ago, in the ALCS against Houston, his last time in the limelight, Judge went 1-for-16. That's the stuff of boos, which have been the norm in most Yankee Octobers of this millennium. If Judge is hot, the Yankees are nearly unbeatable. If he's cold... well... boo.

Juan Soto. In 29 postseason games, he's hit .261 with 7 HRs. Most of this came in 2019, at age 20, when Soto beat Houston's brains out. That year, leading his team to a ring, he hit .333 with 3 HRs in the world series. They still love him in Washington. Trouble is, in 2022, he sorta flopped with San Diego, hitting .222 in the NLCS. 

Everybody knows the secret of this October: It's Soto's crossroads in NYC. If he leads the Yankees to a world championship, he will bond forever with the franchise and fan base. Food Stamps Hal will have to sign him - as he did Judge - and Soto will be a Yankee for life. Cue the happy guitar.

But if the season ends with scattered boos and angry postgame tribunals, the exit signs will beckon to Soto. Some small market billionaire - hitter-starved Seattle? - will offer the moon, and Soto will follow the candied trail of Robbie Cano, however cursed it may be. Cue the pipe organ.

Bobby Witt Jr. Against Baltimore, he went 3-for-9 with 2 RBIs. He was thrown out trying to steal. This is Witt's chance to shine in the national spotlight, as Soto did in 2019. The Royals - brilliantly - signed him to a long term deal last year, so he won't be a free agent until 2031. 

Watching this guy, I get a scary George Brett vibe. He has all the trappings of a Yankee killer. If we pitch to him, he'll maul us. If we walk him, he'll steal second. I'll watch him hit from behind the couch. 

Salvador Perez. This year, he finished with 27 HRs and .271, plus he crushed opposing running games. In eight postseason series, over three years (33 games), he's hit .234 with five HRs. He's the best catcher in baseball, and KC has him for two more years. He's not Soto - (41 HR and .288 this year) - but remember, those numbers come from a fucking catcher. 

Somebody better throw some firecrackers into the Yankees' blissful week off. This is going to be a dogfight. Shall we dredge up the Pine Tar rule? 

15 comments:

JM said...

"Kyle Higashioka's solo homer started a five-run rally against an ailing Max Fried with two outs in the second inning, and the San Diego Padres held on to sweep the Atlanta Braves with a 5-4 victory in Game 2 of their NL Wild Card Series on Wednesday night."

Nice going, Higgy. Give 'em hell.

In other news, Gary Sanchez pinch hit in the Brewers-Mets game and hit a ground ball single. Whatever. The thing that floored me was when the ESPN announcer was lauding how fast he had reached 100 HRs and then said he had become one of the best, maybe THE best, catcher in the game.

WTF?

A good friend of mine follows the Mets, so I say, go Mets! They probably could never get past Philly, but maybe the Brewers...

AboveAverage said...

My theory is the team with the best sponsor patch on their sleeve will win the World Series. Nothing else will factor in to the outcome. 2024 Champs = Best Sleeve Patch.

Copelius said...

I have no hope for the Yankees. Cole will intentionally walk Witt, Jr., leading to him stealing home from first base when Torres applies such a sweeping tag that the ball flies out of his glove and goes to the outfield wall where Judge will then blow out his elbow trying to throw home. Verdugo will GIDP a record 10 times in the ALDS. In the final game 3 the Yankees will pluckily build up a 10 run lead, so Boone will think it Holmes proof. Holmes will promptly give up 10 straight homeruns but there won't be any pitchers left in the bullpen due to Boone's mismanagement throughout the series. Royals sweep with a final score of 16-15 in game 3.

AboveAverage said...

The team with the best shoulder sponsor patch belongs to….z

The San Diego Padres with their Motorola bat wing M.

Ladies and gentlemen- your 2024 World Series Champion will be the San Diego Padres*





*[I’m most likely incorrect about this but - remember, you read it here first]

BTR999 said...

No faith in this team to win. This aging, sleepy team will have not competed for 8 days when the ALDS begins. KC is (for the most part) younger and defintley hungrier. For the team with the best record, the Yankees have an incredible amount of flaws, and now have a slumping Chisolm and Wells. Judge has never hit well in the postseason. Soto hit only .243 combined in Aug-Sept. 1B and LF are black holes and the pen is a nightmarish mush-mosh, without a battle tested closer. And then there’s Boone, now likely forced into a role where his management “style” will be exposed. Cue the “October is a crapshoot” storylines.

KC sweeps, 3-0.

AboveAverage said...

BTR - there's an additional reason why KC will likely beat the Yankees.....they have a slightly better shoulder sponsor patch than the Yankees do. Theirs features the boldly rendered letters QT, which stands for the QuickTrip convenience store. It won't be a sweep, but KC will likely edge them out, per the 2024 Sponsor Patch theory . . .

HoraceClarke66 said...

Yeah, I was commenting on that yesterday, JM. The announcers said that Sanchez was the third fastest major leaguer EVER to 100 home runs, then mentioned that he supposedly had an 80—the highest possible scout ranking—for his arm.

Then they sort of stopped talking, as if embarrassed. Yeah, guys, we couldn't figure it out, either.

HoraceClarke66 said...

Higgy also gloved the final out, despite tripping over his first baseman. Nice play. Not the sort we make. I watched parts of all four Wild Card games yesterday, and what struck me most was how younger, more athletic, and better in the field most of these teams were than your New York Yankees.

Buhner's Ghost said...

I wouldn't worry too much about the Mariners going after Soto or any high-priced free agent. The Cano signing and how it turned out is like Seattle ownership putting its hand on a hot stove. Lesson learned forever.

BTR999 said...

AA, food for thought…

The Hammer of God said...

Apparently, the ASS-stros were not cheating during this series. Or, if they were, their former cheating manager A.J. Hinch knew exactly how to neutralize it. Takes one to know one; takes one to beat one.

Have to give that cheating bastard Hinch some credit. He did pull his closer in Game 1 9th inning with 2nd and 3rd and only 1 out because the guy was pitching horribly. Think Boone would ever have the cajones to do that? Yeah, I think not.

The Hammer of God said...

Judge has so few RBI in the playoffs because he has been hitting #2 in the lineup. One of the reasons, anyway. Ergo all the solo home runs.

The Hammer of God said...

So it's all set. Yanks vs K.C. Just like old times again. These current Yanks (and their piss poor management) probably get their butts handed to them by K.C. I'm thinkin' K.C. sweep. Yanks might get no-hit in two of the three games. Gonna be infuriating.

On the NY Post today, says scouts think everybody on the Yanks plays out of position. (Yeah dudes, we noticed that here a while back.) What can you do except laugh?

HoraceClarke66 said...

Yeah, I was gonna say, Hammer! I think we called this back when Jazz came over and took over third. Oy. No, we're going to get run right out on a rail.

Rufus T. Firefly said...

Mr. not Average, you appear to have sampled the brown acid again. You should have heeded Wavy Gravy's admonition against trying it.

How could you not like the understated yet stylish patch of the Bart Starr Insurance agency? After all, he is a hall of fame quarterback and multiple league champion.

PS, I may have some of the purple microdot left over if you need it this weekend.