Monday, May 2, 2016
Posted by Alphonso at 9:12 AM
The Yankees kept giving up the lead and getting it back. The Yankees were scoring some runs.
A-Rod looked like the 27 year old version ( except, of course, he didn't play defense ) of the man.
My probability formula was not designed to deal with a calculation involving more than 2 runs for the Yankees.
Time for an adjustment.
With enough Canadian Whiskey in me, I was able to see a new, " path to the light," make a few changes and substitute the concept of a tie game for the 2 run variable. If I had been drinking more during my probability theory classes years ago, I might have turned out smart.
At 6-6, therefore, I re-ran the numbers, per my new approach.
The probability of the Yankees overcoming yet another tie, at the 6 run level, in Boston, flashed negative ( I ran the equation several times, as there was margin for error).
It was only then that I turned off the TV.
The predicted outcome was exactly the same as for the previous two games, only different.
How did Joe look in the press conference?