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Monday, May 2, 2016

A Different Kind Of Deja Vu

I have to confess that I temporarily lost my mojo last night.

The Yankees kept giving up the lead and getting it back.  The Yankees were scoring some runs.

A-Rod looked like the 27 year old version ( except, of course, he didn't play defense ) of the man.

My probability formula was not designed to deal with a calculation involving more than 2 runs for the Yankees.

Time for an adjustment.

With enough Canadian Whiskey in me,  I was able to see a new, " path to the light,"  make a few changes and substitute the concept of a tie game for the 2 run variable.  If I had been drinking more during my probability theory classes years ago, I might have turned out smart.

At 6-6, therefore, I re-ran the numbers, per my new approach.

The probability of the Yankees overcoming yet another tie, at the 6 run level, in Boston, flashed negative ( I ran the equation several times, as there was margin for error).

It was only then that I turned off the TV.

The predicted outcome was exactly the same as for the previous two games, only different.

How did Joe look in the press conference?

4 comments:

JM said...

Joe looked like a jarhead who's wound way too tight.

You know, like he always looks.

Parson Tom said...

at this rate, he'll be gone by June. It's clearly time for a change, although I agree with those who say Cashman is the primary culprit. But Girardi has overstayed his welcome, too. Rigid, ramrod. These are good adjectives for men of a certain age, but when it comes to managing a baseball team not so much.

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