Monday, September 12, 2022

The Tampa Bay Rays are an amazing team. Too bad they're killing baseball.

 

So the Yankees have compiled 30 straight winning seasons. The team breathing down their necks for the last month—the team that yet may pass them, regardless of this weekend just past—will have run up 11 winning seasons out of the last 15 by the end of this year. 

The Rays will have also won at least 4 division titles and 2 pennants, and have made 3 other wild-card appearances in that time—with another wild card almost certainly in hand (or whatever that weird little, knuckle-y thing instead of a hand is that rays have). 

All, as we are constantly told, on a small fraction of the budget that your New York Yankees enjoy.

They are exceedingly admirable. And almost impossible to watch.

Don't take my word for it. Ask their fans. It will be easy enough to reach them at home.

The Rays, despite the third-best record in the American League, rank 14th out of 15 in attendance, averaging just under 14,000 fans a game—and many of those who do show up can be clearly heard rooting for the visiting team. 

This situation is often attributed to the Rays' dreary, domed stadium, Tropicana Field, where a tarpaulin now covers the upper deck and a "full house" is considered to be 25,000 fans.

Sorry, but people have always turned out to see great baseball, even in the most dismal of ballparks. Just look at all those cookie-cutter, all-purpose parks in the 1970s. Or Shea Stadium. (From time to time.) 

Attendance at the Trop is down to almost half of what it was at the start of the Ray's run of success. So what gives?

The packaging ain't the problem here—it's the product.

There has been an enormous variety of entertaining overachievers in baseball history. Just look at some of Billy Martin's underdog teams, running and bunting the opposition silly. The 1965 Dodgers, with that great starting staff...and Dick Tracewski. The Whiz Kids and the Hitless Wonders, the "Orange October" Giants and that Royals team that rings around the Mets a few years ao.

The Rays...are just boring.

Tampa Bay does almost nothing especially well. They don't bash and they don't run, and they don't flash a lot of leather. The Rays are 11th in the AL in home runs, and 6th in stolen bases, with just 81. They are 10th in slugging, 9th in getting on base, and 6th in fielding.

They are a team permanently stuck in neutral.

The only thing the Rays do well is pitch. TB is 3rd in the AL with a 3.29 ERA. But even here, no individual stands out. No one on the Rays has more than 11 wins or 8 saves. No one has pitched a complete-game shutout. Or a complete game.

It's the same with the individual hitters. Nobody on the team boasts as many as 20 home runs or 77 RBI. No one who could qualify for the batting title is hitting above .300.

This is, for the most part, an endless assemblage of Ji-Man Chois and Taylor Wallses, Brandon Lowes and Brett Phillipses.

Nothing stands out and no one is truly outstanding. Celerino Sanchez was reminiscing recently about the Yanks' old showdowns against Red Sox teams bristling with Hall-of-Famers. Nobody on this Rays team is going to the Hall, unless they buy a ticket. 

Nor did this just start. The Rays have been boring fans everywhere for years now. It's not a coincidence that the very lowest TV ratings for a World Series contest—ever—were for a game between the Phillies and Tampa Bay, in 2008.

To see a typical Rays game is to see a masterpiece—of general managing. It's like watching a man try to solve Rubik's cube. The Rays are simply a bundle of interchangeable lug nuts. Sure, TB is adept at developing exciting young talent—which is then traded off for still younger prospects before it can ever develop.

Even worse, like some terrible tree fungus, Raysball is infecting and destroying the rest of baseball. Never forget: this is the team that gave us the opening closer, which the Yankees resorted to on Sunday, an entire game pitched by the bullpen. And it's only getting worse.

In both leagues, there are going to be just 6 or 7 guys who hit over .300 this year. It's unlikely than anyone is going to steal 40 bases,, or win 20 games, or save 40. Aaron Judge's season is so compelling in part because he is nearly 20 home runs ahead of the next slugger.

A cynic might conclude that the owners of that soulless corporate entity known as MLB are delighted by this sort of parody parity. After all, no superstars, no super contracts. But never underestimate the role of stupidity in human affairs.

Baseball rolled out its big rule changes for next year, during the Rays' visit to New York. These included a ban on infield shifts, a pitch clock, and—rather weirdly—bigger bases.

Far from fixing what's wrong with the sport, all of these changes are likely only to worse what fans already hate most about it. They ignore what's wrong with the way the game is played and taught, in favor of superficial "fixes" that only double down on baseball's worst trends.

Don't teach batter to hit to the opposite field or bunt—just ban fielders from playing where the balls are hit. Don't teach pitchers to pitch to contact or pitch swiftly so they keep their fielders in the game—just put a clock on the game famously played without a clock.

(The base-size change promises to be the most disastrous "fix" of all, throwing off the game's meticulously calibrated mechanics in ways that we can barely anticipate. Expect a slew of new injuries and furious protests.)

What major-league baseball, with all its Raysplay and its Three True Outcomes and its Moneyball has once again lost sight of is the game's real appeal: it's a unique combination of an individual game being played inside a team game.

Make it so pitchers struggle to throw as many as five innings or batters can't hit .225, remove all the individual heroics and savvy from the game...and you won't have baseball anymore, just a bunch of superb athletes doing their best imitations of an algorithm. Good luck selling that, even in the Bronx.

28 comments:

JM said...

Here, here. Or hear, hear. Whichever you like.

This nails it.

BTR999 said...

Well said Hoss. Thank you!

AboveAverage said...

Nicely done, Sir Hoss.

Doug's Baldo Caldo is terrific too!

ZacharyA said...

I think you undersell how terrible Tropicana Field and its location is.

The Nationals are 49-92.
None of their players are hitting .300. In fact, only one regular is hitting above .270.
None of their players have reached 20 HR.
None of their players have reached 15 SB.
None of their players have reached 75 RBI.
Their win leader is Josiah Gray with 7.
Their saves leader is Tanner Rainey with 12.

Yet they're outdrawing the Rays by 10,000 fans per game.

The Hammer of God said...

Amen, Hoss!

The changes they have planned for next year seem very artificial. How do you tell defenders that they can't stand where they want to stand? How are they going to enforce that rule? How arbitrary will enforcement of that rule be, will some teams (the Tampons) get away with inching over the required boundaries? What's going to happen if the pitcher's pitch clock runs out? Automatic ball call? Bigger bases? Hmmmm. Sounds like they're secretly planning on selling ad space on the base covers.

The changes that they should make are the following:

1. Lower the mound. I think it's 10 inches right now. Lower it to 6 inches.

2. Limit the number of pitchers on the roster. No more than 11 pitchers total. 5 starters and 6 relievers should be enough for any team.

3. Mandate that all teams move the fences back. Require outfield square footage to increase by X percent.

But I haven't heard anything about these changes that they should make.

Publius said...

The Trop is a dump, and the region isnt a great baseball town, but the real proplem is it's on the wrong side of the bay. They'd draw much better, borderline OK, if the park was in Tampa.

Publius said...

Hoss is a mensch, but the 2023 innovations are the very least the lords of baseball can do to improve the product as played. I liked the 7 inning doubleheaders, and would schedule a handful throughout the season. There's other stuff. Tinker away, Theo. And the Rays could be sold as David vs Goliath. It's the park's location more than anything else that kills attendance.

BTR999 said...

The Lords of Baseball thought FLA BB was a slam dunk but many fans there are retirees who brought their own preferences with them. A few years ago, both MIA + TB were candidates for contraction. The Trop is perhaps the worst stadium in MLB. But the Rays are a well-run franchise competitive franchise., if they were in say, Portland or Charlotte they'd draw well.

Regarding rule changes, the pitch clock seems to be a sad necessity. Banning the shift is ridiculous, but I like the idea of larger bases as it will hopefully promote the running game.

Joe Formerlyof Brooklyn said...


To be contrary for a moment (and I do love Hoss's thinking usually) -- I think the Pitch Clock could turn out to be very enjoyable.

As in -- a Laff Riot.

Can you imagine Chappie trying to pitch inside a time limit? You think he's a water faucet now?

G Cole could not cope with a change to the substances he was putting on the ball. Now he's gonna go argue with a clock???

At some point as the clock ticks down, a pitcher is gonna have to fling the damn thing up there. The catcher might or might not know what's coming. The pitcher might or might not come near the glove. MORE passed balls. MORE hits. MORE homers.

And, even without the bigger bases, more SBs.

Let's say the count is 3-and-2 with bases loaded in a close game. The pitch clock is at 5. Do you shake off the sign from the catcher? Or just throw a pitch you don't want to throw to a location you can't really hit?



ranger_lp said...

With the new rules, Joey Gallo will be MVP next year...

Beauregard Jackson Pickett Burnside said...

Stadium location is irrelevant. Half the fans at Yankee stadium are from NJ. Surely that can’t be less of a slog.

The everyone mediocre argument could be made about the Yanks. The stadium was PACKED during the August slump, and one man made them come out… Aaron Fucking Judge. I guess all it takes is one. Shea is going to be rocking next year.

HoraceClarke66 said...

"Jejune?! Jejune?! You have the temerity to call me jejune?! I'm one of the most june people I know!"
—Woody Allen
Love and Death

HoraceClarke66 said...

Thanks for the nice words, guys—and for engaging.

I have to admit, Zach, that I have never been in the Trop, though I have driven past it—and it sure does look like a dump! But it is interesting that the Rays' attendance keeps dropping even after years of sustained winning.

HoraceClarke66 said...

It's true, BTR999, that MLB thought Florida would be a slam dunk—and why not? It has a huge population of those Americans who like baseball the most.

I think the core of the problem here—and regarding the lack of a new park in a good location—is the same.

That is, MLB allowed the FL franchises to be repeatedly bought by a bunch of undercapitalized grifters. Hey, I understand: most people like to hang out with their own kind!

What would have been better, would have been for MLB to have recruited well-capitalized people who love the game to buy those franchises. Then they might have built new stadiums largely or solely with their own money.

But that's not how the cartel rolls.

HoraceClarke66 said...

Publius, I'm more of a traditionalist, as you may have noticed! Hammer, some of those changes might help. And sadly, BTR, the pitch clock might be necessary to force changes in strategy. The time between pitches has become outrageous. But I suspect the rule does not apply when men are on base, right?

(The ban on shifts, sadly, only encourages the swing-for-the-fences-on-every-pitch game.)

But one can make or not make all of the (relatively small) changes one wants about the game. I don't favor most of them.

BUT...the real trouble here is the culture of the sport. Baseball HAS to get back to teaching batters how to hit to the opposite field—and occasionally bunt—and teaching pitchers how to pitch to contact and pitch longer, AND teaching everyone the fundamentals of the game. These are the only things that will make it generally watchable again...

HoraceClarke66 said...

Beauregard, I think you've got it right.

In baseball, the pitcher is the hero of the game. Originally, it was the starter. Then the closer. Both were pretty damned heroic. But then, once you reduced everyone to essentially a middle reliever...it was all over.

Same thing with the other big stars. They need to shine. You need to have at least one big bat on pretty much every team. And the more "five-tool players"—an almost extinct species—the better!

HoraceClarke66 said...

Or look at it this way:

The TB Rays/Sabremetricious idea of baseball is akin to if the NFL, tomorrow, decided that football should basically do away with all those pesky backs and receivers, and just have guys with a lineman's physique play the entire game—alternating at QB or safety or RB.

You can imagine how it would be to watch that. But that's the essence of what baseball has done. It has steadily diminished, discarded, and downgraded the greatest skills on the field.

That will ALWAYS be a bad thing.

HoraceClarke66 said...

And what I would do, in terms of rule changes?

Well, maybe tomorrow!

BTR999 said...

Hoss, RE: the pitch clock - Pitchers will have 15 seconds to begin their motions with the bases empty and 20 seconds with men on base

AboveAverage said...

The end is near - prepare yourselves as this will not continue too far into what they call the POST SEASON.

Prepare your minds.

Prepare your souls.

DickAllen said...

I do not believe The Lords of Baseball give a fuck about what any of us think.

AboveAverage said...

They don't DA.

Who ever said that they did?

DickAllen said...

AA, I know it’s foolish of me, but I still harbor a meager shred of hope.

Otherwise, I’d just give up on it altogether.

The Archangel said...

I like the pitch clock if it also stops guys from stepping out after every pitch to play with their batting gloves and contemplate man's inhumanity to man

TheWinWarblist said...

Manta rays are beautiful creatures.

HoraceClarke66 said...

Aren't they, Winnie? And how about that magnificent "flying ray"? They can really get up high.

And no, the Lords of Baseball don't give a damn about us. But they will, once we go away.

The Hammer of God said...

Those are great photos, Hoss, spectacular!

DickAllen said...


Hahahahahaha!

Hoss, we are NEVER going away!

If the last twelve years have proven anything to The Cartel, it’s that we are, all of us, sentimental saps, willing to put up with ANYTHING!!

When the lockout began, I said: NEVER AGAIN. But the minute the season started…