'98 Yanks rally to tie All-Time Yankee series with '51 team

Series tied: 2-2
Knobby, Jeet, sparkplugs!
Gil takes El Duque downtown!
In dramatic appearance, Joe D ignites stadium!
Mo flubs lead, then comes through!
Billy fails!
Next up: Vic Raschi v David Cone!

Monday, January 18, 2021

A New Stat for Baseball Fans – The AYG-HAB ™

As a baseball community we need to heal. For too long readers of this blog and baseball fans in general have been torn between an over reliance on stats, and the non quantifiable “gut call” of the baseball purists.

Those who would "burn the binders" ignore science. Those who think that averages over a season have anything to do with the immediacy of an in-game situation are "asleep at the wheel". It’s time for a new stat, one that acknowledges both truths and gives us a common ground so we can properly hate (or love) the ballplayers and not each other.

That stat is the AYG-HAB™. It stands for Are You Glad He’s At Bat? Doesn’t matter why. You want to say that after the seventh inning when facing a left-handed pitcher with less than two outs the hitter is prone to striking out? Sure, go ahead. You want to say, “Why is this guy still in the game? He sucks.” I’m with you. Because regardless of how you got there the batter has a poor AYG-HAB™.  

Conversely, you have to pee, but DJ is up with a guy on third and two outs. Well, DJ has the highest AYG-HAB™ on the Yankees so you might want to hold it in. Sanchez? Head for the bathroom and feel free to stop in the kitchen on the way back because the inning is over.

It’s a flexible stat.  If a player is in a slump. He might have a lower rating. But, because it’s based on how you feel, you could like the player enough to say, “He’s due.” Or, if you are stats minded, just believe that he’s as good as the back of his baseball card and will revert to the mean. Either way his AYG-HAB™ is higher than his current performance.

Bottom line. You’re OK that he’s at the plate.  

One final example. Hicks is up with two outs and runners on 2nd and 3rd. Low AYG-HAB™, but if the bases are loaded, it goes up. Why? He walks a lot.

To Conclude:  

Here are the official AYG-HAB™ categories. The First number of the stat is the category and then you get to arbitrarily, or using metrics, assign a second number. The AYG-HAB™ can change from day to day or inning to inning but mostly, you know how you feel. 

AYG-HAB™ 7 Totally

AYG-HAB™ 6 Probably

AYG-HAB™ 5 Sure What the Hell

AYG-HAB™ 4 Sigh.

AYG-HAB™ 3 Please. Please. Please.

AYG-HAB™  2  Oh crap not this guy again


AYG-HAB™ 1  What else is on?

So, as far as I’m concerned DJ has an AYG-HAB™ of 7.3 and Sanchez varies from 2.8-3.2. Hicks? You tell me.


Alphonso said...

This is a good plan.

el duque said...

I'm pronouncing it "EYE-GAB."

There should also be an AYG-HP. (EYE-GIP.") Are You Glad He's Pitching.

DickAllen1964 said...

Fuck Hicks. And fuck Brain for signing him through 2026.

But the I-GAB thing is good. It will provide us with a great deal of amusement when the season gets here. IF it gets here.

And to steal a familiar quote: Fuck you too Harold. You cheap cunt.

TheWinWarblist said...

"AYG-HAB," as you all must remember, is what I sound like after an afternoon of drinking and baseball.

TheWinWarblist said...

Whoa whoa whoooaaaa, DickAllen!! Watch the language!! I'm the one who spews obscenities around here!

Tommy Jon said...

Finally! THIS is what advanced stats are good for!

13bit said...

Bless you, Doug...

HoraceClarke66 said...

Wasn't the AYG-HAB featured in "Tales of the Arabian Nights"? Wasn't he a mighty Asian potentate somewhere?

Kevin said...

Horace, I think that AYGHAB was in some book by Melville. Pretty damned good stat. I think that Bill James would grin and agree. FWIW, I have a feeling that Hal is going to blow through the cap. Rapidly closing window and a fortune paid for a playoff Ace. The price has never been cheaper on free agents. The smart businessman buys on a low market. I really don't believe that I'm going out on a limb.

Joe Formerlyof Brooklyn said...

There's also the flip side of AYGHAB -- don't you fear this SOB at bat?

My all-time DYFTSOBAB is Harold Baines. Every time he was up, every time the NYYs failed to walk him (with first base empty) -- he hit a double.

Of course, this isn't something I can statistically validate. But it "feels" like it kept happening. I screamed"walking the Effing guy" at the television, they didn't, he drove in runs.

JM said...

Great idea, Doug. My only question is, how did you end up rating Sanchez so high?

Anonymous said...


Thanks for digging it.


I know you are kidding but it's probably the same reason they refuse to get rid of him. I've seen what he can do. But, at the same time I'm realistic (as are we all) and would trade him in a heartbeat. So...

2.8 is the high end of "Oh crap not this guy again" and 3.2 is near the bottom of Please Please Please as in "I know you can do it. But I also know you won't. What do you say you do it this one time?"

Doug K.

Yankee Daddy Roger said...

Dont you fear this SOB at bat, excluding Hall of Famers such as Brett and Carew who killed everybody
Top Six (in no particular order

Big Papi
Claudell Washington
Jose Battista
Mike Sweeney
Harold Baines
Don Money

Retired Stratman said...

Yankee Daddy - you forgot Edgar Martinez. Put that SOB right at the top of your list.

Yankee Daddy Roger said...

Revised List of DYFTSOB
1.Edgar Martinez
2. Big Papi
3.Claudell Washington
4. Jose Battista
5, Mike Sweeney
6. Don Money
7. Garret Anderson
8.Justin Morneau